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April 15, 2025

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Panic selling and oversold extremes gave way to a rip higher last week. Stocks are poised to open strong on Monday as the market reacts positively to tariff news. Last week’s bounce is considered an oversold bounce within a bear market. Thrust signals are setting up, but strong follow through is needed to trigger actual signals. This report will first review the panic indicators and the short-term oversold condition, and then show what it would take to move from a bear market bounce to a bullish breadth thrust.

3 Standard Deviation Decline

The chart below shows SPY dipping below the lower Bollinger Band (200,3) on April 4th. This means SPY was more than 3 standard deviations below its 200-day SMA, which is an extreme oversold condition. For reference, SPY has reached this extreme 27 times in the last 25 years. Such a move reflects panic selling pressure that often gives way to a bounce, which we got on Wednesday, April 9th.

TrendInvestorPro highlighted this 3 standard deviation move and extreme oversold conditions in our reports on April 7th and 8th. Click here to learn more and gain immediate access.

Oversold Extremes for Long-term Breadth

The next chart shows S&P 500 Percent Above 200-day SMA ($SPXA200R) dipping below 20% on April 7th to become extremely oversold. This means more than 80% of S&P 500 stocks were below their 200-day SMAs as traders sold pretty much everything. Extremely oversold readings in long-term breadth foreshadowed bounces June 2022, September 2022 and April 2025.

NYSE Zweig Breadth Thrust Sets Up

The NYSE Zweig Breadth Thrust is setting up as it finished below .40 on Friday. Actually, this indicator has been below .40 for four of the last five days. Readings below .40 reflect a short-term oversold condition that could give way to a bounce. The indicator first dipped below .40 on April 4th and stocks rebounded last week.

This indicator is also setting up for a possible Zweig Breadth Thrust. Currently, stocks are in the midst of an oversold bounce within a bigger downtrend. This would become a bullish Zweig Breadth Thrust should we see follow through and surge above .615 with 10 days. The countdown begins.

The Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator is the 10-day EMA of Advances/(Advances + Declines). Why did Zweig use a 10-day EMA? I believe he wanted to separate 1-5 day bear market bounces from bounces with follow through. The current bounce is just a bear market bounce and we need to see follow through within 10 days for a Zweig Breadth Thrust to trigger.

It is important to monitor more than one breadth indicator for thrust signals because you never know which one will trigger. The NYSE Zweig Breadth Thrust might miss, but the S&P 500 or S&P 1500 Zweig Breadth Thrust indicators may catch the signal, especially if Nasdaq stocks or small and mid caps lead. TrendInvestorPro monitors thrust indicators based on the percentage of stocks above their 20 and 50 day SMAs, and we have a breadth thrust index that aggregates thrust signals in over a dozen breadth indicators. This analysis continues for subscribers to TrendInvestorPro. 

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Healthcare Re-Enters the Top 5

After a wild week in the markets, the sector ranking got quite a shake-up. Although only one sector changed in the top 5, the entire top 5 changed positions. In the bottom half of the ranking, only two sectors remained stationary.

The Healthcare sector re-entered the top 5 after dropping out two weeks earlier. This happened at the expense of Energy, which dropped to #7. Consumer Staples jumped from the #4 position and is now leading, followed by Utilities. Financials and Communication Services dropped to #4 and #5, down from #1 and #2.

In the bottom half, Real-Estate jumped to #6 from #9. Energy, dropping from the top 5, is now at #7, and pushed Industrials and Consumer Discretionary down to #8 and #9.

Materials and Technology remain on positions #10 and #11.

  1. (4) Consumer Staples – (XLP)*
  2. (5) Utilities – (XLU)*
  3. (1) Financials – (XLF)*
  4. (2) Communication Services – (XLC)*
  5. (6) Healthcare – (XLV)*
  6. (9) Real-Estate – (XLRE)*
  7. (3) Energy – (XLE)*
  8. (7) Industrials – (XLI)*
  9. (8) Consumer Discretionary – (XLY)*
  10. (10) Materials – (XLB)
  11. (11) Technology – (XLK)

Weekly RRG: Strong Tails for XLU and XLP

On the weekly RRG, Financials and Communication services remain at high JdK RS-Ratio levels, but have started to roll over while still inside the leading quadrant.

XLV dropped on the JdK RS-Momentum axis, but is still moving higher on RS-Ratio. The two strongest tails are for XLP and XLU, which are pushing further into leading at positive RRG-Headings.

Daily RRG: Communication Services Drops into Lagging

On the daily RRG, XLP and XLU are starting to lose relative momentum, but it is happening at high RS-Ratio levels. This is combined with the strong weekly tails, which keep both sectors comfortably in the top 5.

XLV and XLF are rotating through the weekly quadrant, while XLC has crossed over into lagging.

Consumer Staples

XLP dipped back to support near 75, but recovered strongly back into its previous range. As a result, the raw RS-Line is challenging its overhead resistance, dragging both RRG-Lines sharply higher. This is now clearly the strongest sector.

Utilities

During the week, XLU dropped below support but managed to come back within the range at Friday’s close. Just like Staples, raw RS is about to break its upper boundary, away from its range. Both RRG-Lines are accelerating higher, pushing the tail deeper into leading.

Financials

XLF tested support around 42, but the bounce stopped near its old support level of around 47.50. RS has steadily moved higher within the boundaries of its rising channel.

Communication Services

A big price drop was caught just above horizontal support near 83. The recovery, so far, has not reached overhead resistance at 95, the old support level. This makes XLC the most vulnerable sector inside the top 5. Relative strength remains stable at high RS-Ratio readings and flat RS-Momentum.

Healthcare

The Healthcare sector re-entered the top 5 after one week of absence. This brings all three defensive sectors back into the RRG portfolio. On the price chart, XLV is battling with the former horizontal support area, now resistance, around 136. Relative strength continues to rise, putting the XLV tail well inside the leading quadrant.

Portfolio Performance Update

Last week’s volatility was a bit too much for the portfolio to keep up with, and it is now lagging the S&P 500 by almost 2%.

#StayAlert –Julius


The market has been overvalued for some time but how overvalued is it? Today Carl brings his earnings chart to demonstrate how overvalued the market is right now. We have the final data for Q4 2024.

The market continues to show high volatility but it did calm down somewhat Monday. Carl reviews the market charts you need to see going into this week. He covered not only the market in general, but also covered Bitcoin, Yields, Bonds, Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil and more.

After his market overview, Carl walked us through both the daily and weekly charts of the Magnificent Seven to determine if there is any strength visible. Clue: Not much.

After his review of the Mag 7, Carl discussed Altria (MO) and his strategy to buy high dividend stocks like this one after the market finishes declining from this bear market or beyond. He’s looking for a 50% drawdown eventually.

Erin then took over to talk about sector rotation. Defensive groups are leading as we would expect with Technology trying to stage a comeback. Erin dives into these sectors under the hood to determine participation readings and the ability of them to continue to rally.

Next up Carl brought out his earnings chart to discuss how overvalued the market currently is. He shows his estimates for future movement and discusses where we are right now.

The pair finished the program with a look at viewers’ symbol requests.

00:58 DP Scoreboards

03:33 Market Overview

15:26 Magnificent Seven

20:56 Dividend Discussion

23:34 Sector Rotation

33:29 Earnings Chart

36:41 Questions

40:13 Symbol Requests


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(c) Copyright 2025 DecisionPoint.com


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

DecisionPoint is not a registered investment advisor. Investment and trading decisions are solely your responsibility. DecisionPoint newsletters, blogs or website materials should NOT be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to take any specific action.


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Bear Market Rules


One of my favorite market breadth indicators remained in an extreme bearish reading through the end of last week, standing in stark contrast to growing optimism after last Wednesday’s sudden spike higher.  Monday’s session saw the Bullish Percent Indexes cross above the crucial 30% level for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.  While I remain skeptical of meaningful upside without further confirmation, this bullish rotation does seem to confirm a short-term tactical rally for stocks.

Bullish Percent Index Shows Improved Breadth for S&P 500

The Bullish Percent Index uses point & figure charts to analyze the percentage of stocks in a universe that are in uptrends.  By looking at the most recent buy or sell signal on each individual point & figure chart, the indicator can help validate when a critical mass of stocks have rotated from a bearish phase to a bullish phase.

At the end of September 2024, the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index showed a reading just above 80%.  By early December, the indicator was down to around 70%, and at the February 2025 high had reached 55%.  Last week, the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index was just above 10%.  Indeed, almost all of the S&P 500 members were in confirmed point & figure downtrends.

Breadth Surge Similar to Previous Lows

The Bullish Percent Index for the Nasdaq 100 as well as the S&P 500 both spiked higher by the end of last week following the latest changes to US tariff policy.  As of Monday’s close the Nasdaq 100 Bullish Percent Index had reached 39%, up from 6% a week earlier. 

We can see four other times in the last two years where the Bullish Percent Index has touched the 30% level, and in three of the four times this reversal marked a significant low for the Nasdaq 100.  The most recent observation was last month, which saw a brief upswing before the latest downturn for the major equity averages.

So for both the Nasdaq 100 as well as the S&P 500, a move back above the 30% threshold appears to indicate a decent chance at a tradable move higher.  But will that upswing necessarily lead to sustainable gains?

Long-Term Review Yields Mixed Results

Let’s take a longer look back to the year 2000 and see what has happened following a move below the 30% level for the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index.  Now we can see that while major lows often coincide with the indicator moving back above 30%, we can also see plenty of times where an initial bounce higher was eventually met with further selling.

Note the extreme low readings in June 2022, August 2015, and January 2009.  Even though there was an initial swing higher in all three cases, the market made a new swing low before achieving an eventual bottom for the bear cycle.

With the Bullish Percent Indexes rotating back to a more neutral reading this week, we are seeing plenty of signs of a tactical rally.  We may even see our Market Trend Model turn bullish on the short-term time frame as early as this Friday.  But with the major averages still making a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs, we feel further confirmation is necessary before declaring any sort of “all clear” for US stocks.

RR#6,

Dave

PS- Ready to upgrade your investment process?  Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.  The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.  

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication.    Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Monday (April 14) as of 9:00 p.m. UTC.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price update

At the time of this writing, Bitcoin (BTC) was priced at US$84,833.31 and is up 1.2 percent in 24 hours. The day’s range has seen a low of US$84,050.56 and a high of US$85,667.65.

Bitcoin performance, April 11, 2025.

Chart via TradingView.

The recovery appears to be related to last week’s announcement of partial import tariff relief, but the uncertainty of ongoing US-China trade tensions kept Bitcoin from rallying above US$86,000.

Ethereum (ETH) is priced at US$1,635.11, a 3.1 percent increase over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency reached an intraday low of US$1,624.37 and a high of US$1,677.74.

Altcoin price update

  • Solana (SOL) is currently valued at US$131.19, up 2.4 percent over the past 24 hours. SOL experienced a low of US$128.75 and a high of US$134.05 on Monday.
  • XRP is trading at US$2.15, reflecting a 1.8 percent decrease over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency recorded an intraday low of US$2.11 and a high of US$2.18.
  • Sui (SUI) is priced at US$2.21, showing a decreaseof 0.9 percent over the past 24 hours. It achieved a daily low of US$2.20 and a high of US$2.33.
  • Cardano (ADA) is trading at US$0.6397, trading flat over 24 hours. Its lowest price on Monday was US$0.6314, with a high of US$0.6548.

Crypto news to know

Kraken expands into stock and ETF trading

Kraken announced on Monday that it will expand beyond cryptocurrencies to offer eligible users trade services for over 11,000 US-listed stocks and exchange-traded funds through Kraken Securities.

Users will be able to trade traditional assets and cryptocurrencies within a single Kraken account. The service is available to select states as part of a phased rollout, with plans to expand to all states and the UK, Europe and Australia.

Euro-sacked stablecoin EURC sees growth amidst strengthening Euro

Circle’s Euro-backed stablecoin, EURC, is experiencing growth amidst a strengthening Euro, its market cap growing from around $83 million at the beginning of 2025 to $204 million at the time of writing.

The euro has been rallying while the dollar falls amidst escalating trade tensions between the US and the rest of the world. Obchakevich Research founder Alex Obchakevich expects Euro Coin will continue to grow even as nations reach a trade deal that he projects will stabilize the Euro at around $1.11.

“I predict EURC to grow to 400 million euros by the end of this year. This will be further impacted by MiCa regulatory support and economic challenges,” he said.

MANTRA (OM) token price collapse and aftermath

Following a dramatic price collapse in the MANTRA (OM) token on Sunday (April 13) that wiped out billions of dollars in market cap, CEO John Mullin spoke in a now-deleted AMA thread hosted by Cointelegraph on X.

During the Monday discussion, Mullin denied accusations of insider selling or “rug pulling,” saying the plunge occurred after exchanges closed positions without notice.

On-chain data revealed that around US$227 million worth of OM was deposited from 17 wallets, with two linked to strategic investor Laser Digital. Arkham data revealed those wallets moved millions of OM to OKX and Binance in the days leading up to the collapse.

“The Mantra association, our key investors, our advisers — no one has sold, and we are going to categorically deny and also provide verifiable proof onchain proof that this is the case,” Mullin stated in the AMA, adding that he “(doesn’t) know who those wallets belong to.”

Mantra is up 10.8 percent to US$0.65 at the time of writing, far below its April 9 price of US$6.76.

Strategy buys US$285 million in BTC amid volatility

Michael Saylor’s firm, Strategy, capitalized on sharp equity market swings last week, purchasing 3,459 more BTC valued at US$285.8 million between April 7 to 13.

The buy was funded through its at-the-market equity offering as shares fluctuated from -11 percent to +25 percent, demonstrating the firm’s commitment to BTC accumulation even during periods of financial instability. Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings now total around US$45 billion, representing about 2.5 percent of the total BTC supply.

The firm also disclosed a forthcoming US$5.9 billion unrealized loss due to new accounting rules requiring market-based valuations for digital assets. Even so, Strategy remains on track with its plan to raise US$42 billion through 2027 for continuous Bitcoin acquisitions, reinforcing its identity as a long-term Bitcoin maximalist corporate play.

Metaplanet now 9th largest public Bitcoin holder

Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has acquired 319 BTC at an average price of US$83,147, bringing its total treasury to 4,525 BTC. That makes it the ninth largest publicly traded Bitcoin holding company.

This acquisition is part of its broader treasury strategy to build shareholder value through Bitcoin accumulation, initiated in December 2024. The company now has a cost basis of US$408.1 million and evaluates its Bitcoin performance using Bitcoin yield, which hit 95.6 percent in the first quarter of 2025.

Backed by sophisticated financial engineering such as bond issuances and stock acquisition rights, Metaplanet has executed over 41 percent of its “210 million plan,” demonstrating significant momentum.

The firm’s bold approach also reflects Japan’s evolving stance toward crypto as a mainstream asset class and could influence similar treasury strategies in Asia.

CeFi lending drops from 2021 peak, DeFi borrowing soars

The crypto lending market remains well below its former highs, down from US$64.4 billion in 2021 to US$36.5 billion at the close of 2024, according to a new report by Galaxy Digital.

This contraction is largely due to the collapse of major centralized finance (CeFi) lenders like Genesis, BlockFi, Celsius, and Voyager, which together lost 82 percent of their lending capacity during the bear market.

However, decentralized finance (DeFi) has made a stunning recovery, with open borrows jumping from US$1.8 billion in late 2022 to US$19.1 billion across 20 platforms and 12 blockchains — a 959 percent increase. Galaxy attributes this to DeFi’s permissionless nature, transparency, and its resilience during market turmoil that crushed CeFi players.

Today, Tether, Galaxy, and Ledn dominate the surviving CeFi space, accounting for nearly 89 percent of its total activity, while DeFi’s growth hints at a larger shift toward decentralized, non-custodial financial infrastructure in the post-crash era.

Google to enforce MiCA rules on crypto ads

Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) will begin enforcing stricter ad policies across 27 European countries beginning on April 23, requiring all crypto advertisers to comply with the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation or be licensed under the Crypto Asset Service Provider framework.

All crypto exchanges and wallet providers advertising on Google must now also be certified by Google, and meet additional national-level legal obligations, further tightening the regulatory net on digital asset marketing.

This marks a significant shift in how crypto services are promoted in the EU and could weed out illicit players while boosting trust in licensed entities. Noncompliance will first trigger a warning before eventual account suspensions, giving advertisers a brief grace period to align with the rules.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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From Tokyo rice markets to Wall Street trading floors, candlestick patterns have stood the test of time.

Now, in the high-stakes world of cryptocurrency trading, where government policies can shift the market overnight, understanding these patterns could mean the difference between profit and loss.

In such a volatile environment, traders have continuously searched for signals amid the chaos, and many have claimed that these patterns offer a guiding light.

But how do these candlestick patterns work, and why do traders rely on them? Here’s what you need to know.

History of candlestick patterns

Candlestick charting traces its origins to 18th century Japan, where Munehisa Homma, a wealthy rice trader from Sakata, developed a system to analyze price movements in the rice futures market.

Homma meticulously recorded price fluctuations and identified patterns that reflected market sentiment, realizing that emotions such as fear and greed played a crucial role in price action. His insights allowed him to anticipate market trends, reportedly leading to immense trading success.

Homma’s techniques evolved into a structured system known as the Sakata Rules, which later laid the foundation for modern candlestick patterns. These rules emphasized the importance of recognizing repetitive price formations and interpreting their psychological implications.

Homma’s pioneering work made him legendary in Japan’s trading circles, with some historical accounts claiming he executed 100 consecutive winning trades using his methodology.

Candlestick charts remained largely unknown outside Japan until the late 20th century, where Steve Nison, an American technical analyst, introduced candlestick charting to Western financial markets in the 1980s.

Through extensive research, Nison translated and refined Japanese candlestick techniques, integrating them into modern technical analysis. His 1991 book, Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques, became a seminal work, widely regarded as the definitive guide on the subject.

Key candlestick patterns you need to know

Candlestick patterns provide traders with crucial insights into market sentiment, signaling potential reversals, continuations, or periods of indecision. These patterns are categorized into three main types:

  1. Bullish patterns indicating possible uptrends
  2. Bearish patterns signaling potential downtrends
  3. Neutral patterns suggesting indecision or continuation

Bullish patterns

Bullish candlestick patterns typically appear after a downtrend, signaling a potential shift in momentum as buying pressure increases. These patterns suggest that buyers are stepping in and that a reversal to the upside may be underway.

Bullish engulfing

Bullish engulfing candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Bullish engulfing: A two-candle pattern where a small bearish candle is followed by a larger bullish candle that completely engulfs the previous day’s body. This formation suggests a strong shift in momentum, as buying pressure overwhelms selling pressure. The larger the engulfing candle, the more powerful the signal.

Hammer

Hammer candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Hammer: A single candlestick with a small body near the top of its range and a long lower shadow. It appears after a downtrend and signals that despite initial selling pressure, buyers regained control and pushed prices back up. A hammer is more reliable when it forms near a significant support level.

Inverted hammer

Inverted hammer candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Inverted hammer: Similar to the hammer, but with a small body at the lower end of the range and a long upper shadow. This pattern suggests that buyers attempted to push prices higher after a decline, potentially signaling a reversal. It requires confirmation from the next candle closing higher.

Morning star

Morning star candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Morning star: A three-candle formation that signifies a trend reversal. It starts with a long bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle (which may be bullish or bearish) that gaps down, and finally, a strong bullish candle that closes well into the first candle’s body. This pattern suggests that bearish momentum is weakening and buyers are taking control.

Three white soldiers

Three white soldiers candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Three white soldiers: A powerful bullish pattern made up of three consecutive long bullish candles with small or no wicks. Each candle opens within the previous candle’s body and closes progressively higher. This pattern suggests a strong and sustained uptrend, particularly when accompanied by high volume.

Bearish patterns

Bearish candlestick patterns appear after an uptrend, signaling a potential reversal as selling pressure increases. These formations suggest that buyers are losing momentum, and a downward move may be imminent.

Bearish engulfing

Bearish engulfing candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Bearish engulfing: The opposite of the bullish engulfing pattern, this formation occurs when a small bullish candle is followed by a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs the previous day’s body. This suggests a shift from buying to selling pressure, often signaling the start of a downtrend.

Shooting star

Shooting star candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Shooting star: The shooting star is a single candle with a small body near the lower end of the trading range and a long upper shadow. It indicates that buyers pushed prices higher, but strong selling pressure forced prices back down, making it a potential reversal signal.

Hanging man

Hanging man candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Hanging man: Resembling the hammer, the hanging man appears at the top of an uptrend instead of the bottom. It has a small body and a long lower shadow, signaling that selling pressure is starting to emerge. A confirmation from the next candle closing lower strengthens this bearish signal.

Evening star

Evening star candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Evening star: The bearish counterpart to the morning star, this three-candle pattern starts with a strong bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle that gaps up, and then a long bearish candle that closes well into the first candle’s body. This signals a transition from bullish to bearish momentum.

Three black crows

Three black crows candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Three black crows: This pattern consists of three consecutive long bearish candles with small wicks, each opening within the previous candle’s body and closing progressively lower. It signals strong selling pressure and the likelihood of a continued downtrend.

Neutral patterns

Neutral candlestick patterns signal market indecision and can lead to either a continuation of the existing trend or a reversal. Traders should consider additional indicators or confirmation signals before acting on these patterns.

Doji

Doji candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Doji: A candlestick where the opening and closing prices are nearly identical, resulting in a small or nonexistent body. Doji patterns indicate market indecision and can appear in various forms:
    • Standard doji: Signals uncertainty, often preceding a breakout or reversal.
    • Gravestone doji: A bearish signal, with a long upper shadow and no lower shadow, indicating rejection at higher prices.
    • Dragonfly doji: A bullish signal, with a long lower shadow and no upper shadow, showing strong buying interest.

Spinning top

Spinning top candlestick pattern.

Image via commons.wikimedia.org.

  • Spinning top: Featuring a small body with long upper and lower shadows, the spinning top reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, often signaling consolidation or a possible trend reversal.

Combining candlestick patterns with indicators

While candlestick patterns provide valuable insights into market sentiment, relying on them alone can lead to false signals, especially in a volatile market like Bitcoin.

To increase accuracy, traders often combine these patterns with technical indicators that help confirm trends, momentum and potential reversals. Below are some of the most effective indicators to use alongside candlestick patterns:

  1. Moving averages — Moving averages smooth out price fluctuations and help traders identify the prevailing trend. They can also act as dynamic support and resistance levels.

Application: If a bullish candlestick pattern (eg., bullish engulfing, morning star) appears while Bitcoin’s price is above a key moving average (such as the 50 day or 200 day MA), this strengthens the signal that an uptrend may continue.

Conversely, if a bearish candlestick pattern (eg., bearish engulfing, shooting star) forms below a moving average, it increases the likelihood of further downside.

  1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) — RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price movements on a scale of zero to 100. A reading above 70 suggests overbought conditions (potential reversal or pullback), while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions (potential buying opportunity).

Application: A bullish candlestick pattern forming when RSI is below 30 strengthens the case for a trend reversal (eg., a Hammer appearing in oversold conditions could indicate a strong buying opportunity).

A bearish candlestick pattern forming when RSI is above 70 suggests that the price may be primed for a pullback (eg., a Shooting Star forming in overbought conditions signals potential downside).

  1. Volume analysis – Volume represents the number of trades executed and provides insight into the strength behind price movements. A price move with high volume is more significant than one with low volume.

Application: If a bullish reversal pattern (eg., morning star) appears with high volume, it confirms strong buyer interest and increases the likelihood of a sustained uptrend.

If a bearish reversal pattern (eg., bearish engulfing) forms with high volume, it signals aggressive selling pressure and strengthens the bearish outlook.

Common mistakes to avoid

While candlestick patterns are valuable tools, it is very easy to misuse them—leading to unnecessary losses. Understanding common pitfalls can help investors refine their strategies and improve decision making.

  1. Trading candlestick patterns without confirmation
    Many traders see a single candlestick pattern, such as a Bullish Engulfing or Shooting Star, and immediately enter a trade without waiting for additional confirmation. This leads to false signals and premature decisions.

How to avoid it: Always combine candlestick patterns with other indicators (eg., RSI, moving averages, volume analysis). Furthermore, look for follow-through price action — a second candle that confirms the expected move.

  1. Ignoring the importance of timeframes
    A common trap is assuming that a candlestick pattern on a 5 minute chart carries the same weight as one on a daily or weekly chart. Shorter timeframes are more prone to noise and false signals.

How to avoid it: Prioritize patterns on higher timeframes (daily, weekly) for more reliable signals. If trading lower timeframes (eg. 15 minute chart), ensure the pattern aligns with the higher timeframe trend.

  1. Overtrading and chasing every pattern
    Some traders try to trade every candlestick pattern they see, leading to excessive trades, emotional decision making and mounting losses. Overtrading often results from fear of missing out or lack of patience

How to avoid it: Stick to high-probability setups where multiple factors confirm the trade. Wait for patterns to form at key levels, not in random price areas. Set clear entry and exit rules instead of reacting impulsively.

  1. Failing to adapt to market conditions
    Candlestick patterns do not work the same way in all market environments. Some traders blindly follow textbook interpretations without considering other factors. Candlestick patterns are purely technical, but the market is heavily influenced by fundamental news. Ignoring events like ETF approvals, regulatory shifts, or major financial institution involvement can lead to poor trading decisions.

How to avoid it: Always check news before trading, especially for large moves. Avoid trading right before or after high-impact events, as volatility can distort patterns. Use candlestick analysis in combination with fundamental trends.

Final thoughts

Candlestick patterns have stood the test of time, but while these patterns offer valuable insights into market sentiment, they are not foolproof signals. Successful trading is a holistic skill — it means understanding that context, confirmation and discipline are just as important as recognizing the patterns themselves.

By combining these patterns with other essential factors and indicators, traders can refine their strategies and make more informed decisions.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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In a discovery that offers a glimmer of optimism amid a turbulent year for the diamond industry, Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO,NYSE:RIO,LSE:RIO) has unveiled a 158.2 carat yellow diamond from its Diavik diamond mine, located in the remote Northwest Territories (NWT).

The rough gem, described by Rio Tinto as a “miracle of nature,” is one of only five yellow diamonds exceeding 100 carats ever recovered from Diavik since it began operations in 2003.

The diamond, unearthed from one of the most challenging mining environments on Earth, underscores Diavik’s reputation for producing rare and high-quality stones.

While the mine is best known for its white gem-quality diamonds, less than one percent of its output consists of yellow diamonds, making this latest find a significant event in the mine’s 22 year history.

“This two billion year old, natural Canadian diamond is a miracle of nature and testament to the skill and fortitude of all the men and women who work in Diavik’s challenging sub-Arctic environment,” said Matt Breen, COO of Diavik Diamond Mines, in a press release.

The Diavik mine, jointly operated by Rio Tinto and located entirely off the grid, has also become a model for sustainable mining in the Arctic. It has integrated renewable energy sources into its operations, including a wind-diesel hybrid facility introduced in 2012 and a solar power plant completed in 2024.

This commitment to sustainability adds further value to its diamonds, which carry a provenance often sought by ethical consumers and collectors alike.

This is not the first time Diavik has made headlines with extraordinary finds. In 2018, the mine unearthed a 552 carat yellow gem-quality diamond — the largest ever found in North America.

Known as the ‘Canadamark’ yellow diamond, the discovery eclipsed the previous record set by the 187.7 carat Diavik Foxfire diamond, found in 2015.

Portions of the Foxfire were later cut into two brilliant-cut pear-shaped diamonds, which sold at a Christie’s auction for US$1.3 million.

But while such discoveries reinforce Diavik’s status as a producer of rare gems, they also arrive during a precarious moment for the broader NWT mining sector.

The territory’s three major diamond mines — Diavik, Ekati, and Gahcho Kué — are grappling with steep financial losses, with Diavik alone reporting a US$127 million loss in 2024. These financial headwinds stem from a combination of inflationary pressures, weakened global diamond prices, and unexpected disruptions, including a tragic plane crash near Fort Smith early last year.

Industry advocates are now urging the territorial government to step in and provide relief, particularly in the form of easing property tax burdens.

Blue diamond steals spotlight in US$100 million Sotheby’s exhibit in Abu Dhabi

On the international front, a 10 carat rare blue diamond from South Africa has emerged as the crown jewel of Sotheby’s latest diamond exhibition in Abu Dhabi.

Part of an eight stone showcase valued at over US$100 million, the blue diamond is expected to fetch around US$20 million when it goes to auction in May.

Sotheby’s selected the UAE capital for the exhibit due to the region’s increasing appetite for high-end diamonds. “We have great optimism about the region,” said Quig Bruning, the company’s head of jewels in North America, Europe, and the Middle East.

“We feel very strongly that this is the kind of place where you have both traders and collectors of diamonds of this importance and of this rarity.”

Petra Diamonds delays Cullinan tender as US tariff shockwaves hit market

Meanwhile, Petra Diamonds (LSE:PDL,OTCPink:PDLMF) announced last week that it would delay the sale of gems from its Cullinan mine due to uncertainty over new US tariffs on imports — including diamonds.

The delay comes amid heightened concerns that the tariffs, introduced last week, could disrupt global diamond flows and further depress an already sluggish market.

Petra had already sold 176,000 carats from its Finsch and Williamson mines for US$18 million in its fifth tender of the year — a modest 9 percent price increase over the previous round.

However, overall tender revenue is down 25 percent year-on-year, totaling $103 million so far in 2025, compared to US$138 million during the same period in 2024. Shares of Petra fell 6.1 percent following the announcement.

The Cullinan Mine, famously the source of the largest gem-quality diamond ever discovered, has recently struggled to yield high-quality stones, further complicating Petra’s recovery efforts amid market volatility and its ongoing restructuring plan.

The diamond market isn’t the only luxury segment to be impacted by geopolitical trade tensions.

On April 10, Prada Group (HKEX:1913) which owns luxury brand Prada, announced its acquisition of the Versace brand from Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI) for US$1.38 billion, marking a significant consolidation in the luxury fashion industry.

The deal reunites two iconic Italian brands and positions Prada to better compete with industry leaders like LVMH (OTC Pink:LVMHF,EPA:MC) and Kering (EPA:SSKEG). Capri Holdings, which acquired Versace for US$2.1 billion in 2018, faced challenges with the brand’s performance, including a 15 percent decline in revenue in late 2024. The sale allows Capri to refocus on its core brand, Michael Kors, and address financial pressures following a blocked merger with Tapestry (NYSE:TPR) in 2023.

According to a January report from McKinsey, The luxury goods sector faces a challenging outlook in 2025, with global growth projected to slow to between 1 percent and 3 percent annually through 2027.

This deceleration follows a period where price increases accounted for over 80 percent of growth from 2019 to 2023, a strategy that has now reached its limit as aspirational consumers become more price sensitive.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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EmergingGrowth.com a leading independent small cap media portal announces the schedule of the 81 th Emerging Growth Conference on April 16 & 17, 2025.

The Emerging Growth Conference identifies companies in a wide range of growth sectors, with strong management teams, innovative products & services, focused strategy, execution, and the overall potential for long-term growth.

Register for the Conference here.

Submit Questions for any of the presenting companies to:
Questions@EmergingGrowth.com

For updates, follow us on Twitter

Day 1
April 16, 2025

9:00
Virtual Lobby opens.
Register for the Conference. If you already registered, go back to the registration link and click ‘Already registered’ and enter your email.

9:20
Introduction

9:25 – 9:35
Empire Energy (ASX: EEG)
Keynote speaker: Alex Underwood, CEO & Managing Director

9:40 – 10:10
PSQ Holdings, INc. (NYSE: PSQH)
Keynote speaker: Michael Seifert, Founder, President / CEO

10:50 – 11:20
Ur-Energy (NYSE American: URG) (TSX: URE)
Keynote speaker: John W. Cash, CEO

11:25 – 11:55
Interstellar Communication Holdings
Keynote speakers: Seda Hewitt, Space Ambassador of IcMercury Harri Laitinen, Lifeguard of IcMercury, and Lijie Zhu, Captain of icMercury

12:00 – 12:30
U.S. Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: USEG)
Keynote speaker: Ryan Smith, President, CEO & Director

12:35 – 1:05
Odyssey Marine Exploration, Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX)
Keynote speaker: Mark D. Gordon, Chairman & CEO

1:10 – 1:40
Nova Minerals Limited (NASDAQ: NVA) (ASX: NVA)
Keynote speaker: Christopher Gerteisen – CEO & Executive Director

1:45 – 2:15
C3 Metals Inc. (TSXV: CCCM) (OTCQB: CUAUF)
Keynote speaker: Daniel A. Symons, President, CEO & Director

2:20 – 2:50
Ucore Rare Metals, Inc. (OTCQX: UURAF) (TSXV: UCU)
Keynote speakers: Pat Ryan, CEO

2:55 – 3:05
Eloro Resources, Ltd. (OTCQX: ELRRF) (TSX: ELO)
Keynote speakers: Chris Holden – VP Corporate Development

3:10 – 3:20
Opawica Explorations Inc. (OTCQB: OPWEF) (TSXV: OPW)
Keynote speaker: Blake Morgan, President / CEO

3:25 – 3:35
HydroGraph Clean Power Inc. (OTCQB: HGRAF) (CSE: HG)
Keynote speaker: Kjirstin Breure, President and CEO

Postponed
GeoVax Labs, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOVX)
Keynote speakers: David Dodd, Chairman, President / CEO

_______________________________________________________________

Day 2
April 17, 2025

8:45
Virtual Lobby opens.
Register for the Conference. If you already registered, go back to the registration link and click ‘Already registered’ and enter your email.

9:00
Introduction

9:05 – 9:35
SBC Medical Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: SBC)
Keynote speaker: Yuya Yoshida, Executive Vice President & CFO

10:50 – 11:20
Evofem Biosciences, Inc. (OTCQB: EVFM)
Keynote speaker: Amy Raskopf, Chief Business Development Officer

11:25 – 11:55
Bioxytran, Inc. (OTCQB: BIXT)
Keynote speakers: Dr. David Platt, CEO & Mike Sheikh, Executive Vice President Business Development

12:00 – 12:30
Clene Inc., (NASDAQ: CLNN)
Keynote speakers: Rob Etherington, President / CEO

12:35 – 1:05
Aspire Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASBP)
Keynote speakers: Kraig Higginson – CEO

1:10 – 1:40
Regen BioPharma Inc. (OTC Pink: RGBP)
Keynote speakers: David Koos, President / CEO, & Harry M. Lander, Ph.D. Senior Scientific Consultant

1:45 – 2:15
Banzai International, Inc. (NASDAQ: BNZI)
Keynote speaker: Joseph Davy, Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

2:55 – 3:05
Citizens, Inc. (NYSE: CIA)
Keynote speakers: Jon Stenberg, President / CEO, and Jeff Conklin, CFO

3:10 – 3:20
Sono Group N.V. (OTCQB: SEVCF)
Keynote speaker: George O’Leary, Managing Director, CEO and CFO

Postponed
22nd Century Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: XXII)
Keynote speaker: Lawrence D. Firestone, Chairman & CEO

3:40 – 3:50
Alt Equity
Keynote speaker: Daniel Wait, President / Founder

3:55 – 4:05
Cyios Corp. (OTC Pink: CYIO)
Keynote speaker: John O’Shea, Chairman

4:10 – 4:20
Beneficient (NASDAQ: BENF)
Keynote speaker: Brad K. Heppner, CEO

Visit the following link to register. You will then receive an email containing the link and time to sign into the conference.

Register for the Conference here.

Submit Questions for any of the presenting companies to:
Questions@EmergingGrowth.com

Replays: Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

About EmergingGrowth.com
Founded in 2009, Emerging Growth.com quickly became a leader in its space and has developed an extensive history of identifying emerging growth companies that can be overlooked by the investment community.

About the Emerging Growth Conference
The Emerging Growth Conference is an effective way for public companies to engage with the investment community regarding their Company, new products, services and other major announcements from anywhere, in an effective and time efficient manner.

All sessions are conducted through video webcasts. Our conference serves as a vehicle for Emerging Growth to build relationships with our existing and potential clients. Accordingly, a certain number of the presenting companies are our current clients, and some may become our clients in the future. In exchange for services we provide, our clients pay us fees in the form of cash and securities, and we may currently have, or in the future may have investments in the securities of certain of the presenting companies. Finally, certain of the presenting companies have paid us a fee to secure a presentation time slot or to present generally. The presentations to be delivered by the presenting companies (including any virtual handouts of written materials) have not been approved, endorsed by or otherwise reviewed by EmergingGrowth.com nor should they in any way be construed to have been made in connection with an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Please consult an investment professional before investing in anything viewed on the Emerging Growth Conference or on EmergingGrowth.com.

If you believe or know of a company that might fit our audience, contact us here.

Thank you for your interest in our conference, and we look forward to your participation in future conferences.

Contact:

Emerging Growth
Phone: 1-305-330-1985
Email: Conference@EmergingGrowth.com

News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia

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western copper and gold corporation (‘Western’ or the ‘Company’) (TSX: WRN) (NYSE American: WRN) is pleased to announce that it has strengthened its relationship with Mitsubishi Materials Corporation (‘Mitsubishi Materials’).

Western has entered into an amended and restated investor rights agreement (the ‘Agreement’) with Mitsubishi Materials, most notably extending the rights and obligations thereunder until May 30, 2026 , subject to Mitsubishi Materials acquiring 2 million common shares of the Company through open market purchases. These purchases will be non-dilutive to existing shareholders, as no new shares will be issued by the Company. Upon completion, Mitsubishi Materials’ equity ownership in Western is expected to return to approximately 5%.

‘Mitsubishi Materials have been a supportive partner, and we are pleased to see them grow their ownership in Western,’ said Sandeep Singh , President and CEO. ‘Their continued support through this proposed new investment, made through non-dilutive, open market purchases, is another vote of confidence in the team and the Casino Project. The corresponding extension of rights reflects the productive and aligned relationship we’ve built, and we look forward to continuing to collaborate as we advance one of Canada’s most important critical minerals projects.’

ABOUT western copper and gold corporation

western copper and gold corporation is developing the Casino Project, Canada’s premier copper-gold mine in the Yukon Territory and one of the most economic greenfield copper-gold mining projects in the world.

The Company is committed to working collaboratively with our First Nations and local communities to progress the Casino Project, using internationally recognized responsible mining technologies and practices.

For more information, visit www.westerncopperandgold.com .

On behalf of the board,

‘Sandeep Singh’

Sandeep Singh
President and CEO
western copper and gold corporation

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This news release includes certain ‘forward-looking information’ and ‘forward-looking statements’ (collectively ‘forward-looking statements’) within the meaning of applicable Canadian and United States securities legislation including the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this news release. Forward-looking statements are frequently, but not always, identified by words such as ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘believes’, ‘plans’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘estimates’, ‘envisages’, ‘potential’, ‘possible’, ‘strategy’, ‘goals’, ‘opportunities’, ‘objectives’, or variations thereof or stating that certain actions, events or results ‘may’, ‘could’, ‘would’, ‘might’ or ‘will’ be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements herein include statements regarding Mitsubishi Materials acquiring additional common shares of the Company.

Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include but are not limited to the risk of unforeseen challenges in advancing the Casino project, potential impacts on operational continuity, changes in general market conditions that could affect the Company’s performance; and other risks and uncertainties disclosed in the Company’s annual information form and Form 40-F for the most recently completed financial year and its other publicly filed disclosure documents.

Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions management believes to be reasonable, such assumptions and factors as set out herein, and in the Company’s annual information form and Form 40-F for the most recently completed financial year and its other publicly filed disclosure document.

Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, other factors may cause results to be materially different from those anticipated, described, estimated, assessed or intended. These forward-looking statements represent the Company’s views as of the date of this news release. There can be no assurance that any forward-looking statements will be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company does not intend to and does not assume any obligation to update forward-looking statements other than as required by applicable law.

View original content to download multimedia: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/western-copper-and-gold-strengthens-strategic-partnership-with-mitsubishi-materials-302428507.html

SOURCE western copper and gold corporation

View original content to download multimedia: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/April2025/15/c9765.html

News Provided by Canada Newswire via QuoteMedia

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NVIDIA (NVDA) has allocated $500 billion for US AI investment, but Jim Cramer cites it as the meme stock. Surprisingly, the NVIDIA stock price failed to react to this bullish news, showcasing investors’ declining interest in the asset. Although the Trump tariff fear is persistent, experts fear Cramer’s take might be true for this AI company.

JIM Cramer Calls NVIDIA ‘Meme Stock’ After Price Struggles

NVIDIA has announced a $500 billion investment in the US AI sector over the next four years. The GPU manufacturing company aims to strengthen the country’s AI infrastructure and reduce reliance on international supply chains.

Interestingly, this decision comes following Donald Trump’s tariff introduction on US imports.  Although this is bullish news as it will create thousands of jobs in America, the investors remained less optimistic.

The NVIDIA stock price rose barely 3% with the $500 billion investment news before losing momentum. It currently trades at $110.71 and has crashed significantly with Trump’s tariff affecting the stock market.

Considering the NVDA’s performance struggle, Jim Cramer has called it a meme stock. In the recent CNBC post, Cramer revealed his top stock picks to buy but also targeted Apple, NVIDIA, and a few other companies for poor share performance.

The post mentioned that Cramer believes NVDA had become a meme before saying that he didn’t own meme stock. Again, he commented on NVIDIA’s failure to rise with the $500 billion announcement, adding that it should have broken out, but it did not as the meme crowd controls it.

Yesterday the “Chinese” stocks did quite well. They aren’t supposed to be. Yesterday Nvidia should have broken out, but it is being so seriously controlled by the meme crowd that it couldn’t rally.

Is Jim Cramer Right About NVIDIA Stock?

NVIDIA stock had a slower start and struggled with its price performance for years before the AI industry began to boom. After that, the stock grew higher and higher, setting its prime at $149.43 at the beginning of the year.

Considering the broader picture, NVDA’s meme stock stage seems momentary, as it is struggling just like the rest of the crypto stock prices. More importantly, it has the potential to rise amid the growing demand for the artificial intelligence system.

Notably, Trump’s tariff could influence its performance negatively. Additionally, few analysts believe that the NVIDIA price crash is imminent, but the long-term bullish outlook remains persistent.

Beasides, if Jim Cramer’s Cramer index is considered, this could be a buying opportunity, where the stocks he derogate performance wells.

The post Is Jim Cramer Right About NVIDIA as Stock Price Fails to React to $500B Investment Plan? appeared first on CoinGape.